We haven’t worried you into your cabin in the woods with your stockpiles of canned food lately, so here’s an update on where The Perfect Storm seems to be right now.
“Civilisation faces 'perfect storm of ecological and social problems'”
Hey!! Stop stealing our concepts!! You can probably tell from the way they misspelled civilization that the article is British (not that there’s anything wrong with that). It details the major flows of events rushing together pretty well, but the solutions they propose are arguable and certainly not going to happen. The idea of new institutional and behavior structures, though, is the only way for Corrections Sentencing to get through this with any hope for maxing out public safety given what we’ll have to work with.
"Water Management and Climate Change in Ancient Maya City"
Proof both that Perfect Storms have happened before and that other civilizations (with a “z”) have come up with ideas to deal with them. Of course, these were the Mayans, but everything worked for them, didn't it?
“Drought summit: Why not pipe the water from north to south?”
More British stuff, but reflective of the arguments (rhetorical and worse) that likely will dominate much of our national and regional politics and policy for the rest of our lives. We’ve heard bits and pieces of it already, Arizona wanting Great Lakes water, California wanting everybody’s, Georgia and Alabama going to court, Oklahoma water conservationists wanting to fight off Oklahoma fast-buck guys wanting to sell to north Texas, etc. It’s the future. And corrections sentencing won’t go unaffected.
“Motorists hit by record surge in gas prices”
In case you hadn’t noticed in your own facility and departmental budgets yet. (Keep in mind their totals of overall US daily usage for comparison with the stories we get on how much oil some source is going to add to the system, which needs to be replacing what’s being used at the same time.) And note below.
“Gas prices surging beyond $4 a gallon -- and they will go higher”
Not news if you read here regularly, but updates on refineries being closed and an add-on regarding the effect on elections if gasoline is $4 a gallon. And $5.
“JPM Hikes Crude Price Forecast, Sees $120 WTI By Election Time”
Part of the reason why, but we’ve noted here that the association between oil price and US gasoline price has been breaking down for a variety of reasons. Some even legitimate.
“Surging Energy Prices Are Already Taking A Toll On One Area Of The Market”
Primarily transportation. Although Office Services and Supplies and Environmental and Facilities Services are being hit, too. Not clear to us why, but that’s because we’re just corrections sentencing types. Any ideas, let us know.
“Confusing climate study actually makes strong case against tar sands — If we want to avoid catastrophic global warming”
Why the “oil shale will save us” talk actually points to more Perfect Storm.
"Is there really so much shale gas in the ground?"
And it looks like there’s only about a tenth of what the original estimates (put forward by natural gas companies and their media buddies) said. From Foreign Policy, pure Establishment, not some leftie source.
“Preparing for the flood: Visualizations help communities plan for sea-level rise”
Think it’s possible state and local governments will get to pony up some funds for this stuff? Think it’s possible that those dollars won’t be made up to offset costs to things like, oh, corrections sentencing?
“Rising tide of sea-level warnings drowned out by wave of shoreline development”
Or we could just not pay attention until the water is waist-high. We’re good at that. (Not that Northrup Grumman actually has to deal with reality, not ideology and wish-fulfillment, to stay in business and what side on these issues it’s come down on. Like national militaries and insurance companies in the US and Europe.)
“Climate analysts are from Mars, climate activists are from Venus … but they both live on Earth”
A good analysis of how analysts have to be reality-based but activists have to scare people, making the logic of their arguments differ despite being on the same team. Sound like any other policy area you know? Then maybe it has applicability there, too, along with how we might work together.
“As Everything Disconnects And Everything Is Soaring, Morgan Stanley Issues A Warning”
Regarding the economic leg of The Storm, this blog post notes that the funding of “quantitative easing” has pumped commodity prices way high (don’t use the “speculation” word, though, because economists say that can’t really happen). And Morgan Stanley is looking at past similar situations and not feeling really giddy about it.
“America's coming homeless surge”
And, as government assistance goes away, the problems it’s been holding back come forward. Like this one. Shouldn’t have any impact on corrections sentencing, though, should it?
But as we emphasize here, we’re not about wringing our hands and giving up. Here are just a few sites beyond those in our Outside the Silo links on the right that can help us/you with ideas for how to deal with The Perfect Storm as it hits you and your agencies/facilities.
Water: Use It Wisely
American Water Works Association
American Community Gardening Association
Community Garden Coalition
The last is here in my town, Columbia, MO, and I may even start liking rutabaga. May.